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# Jordan Love's 2025 Was Green Bay's Best Passing Season Since Aaron Rodgers' 2020 MVP
- URL: https://www.statsdigest.com/jordan-love-2025-rodgers-mvp-tier/
- Published: 2026-08-21T12:23:49.000Z
- Updated: 2026-08-21T12:23:48.000Z
- Description: Jordan Love's 2025 EPA and CPOE numbers land inside Aaron Rodgers' MVP range for Green Bay.
- Author: Bill Seifert
- Tags: Jordan Love, Packers, Aaron Rodgers, EPA, CPOE, 2025 NFL

Green Bay's post-Rodgers era has been about waiting to see whether Jordan Love was a bridge or a destination. His 2023 was promising, his 2024 was a wobble, and his 2025 was something different: statistically, the Packers had their best passing offense since Aaron Rodgers' 2020 MVP season, and Love himself posted numbers that sit inside — not near, inside — the Rodgers MVP band.

This isn't a league-wide superlative piece. It's a franchise-specific one. The right yardstick for a Packers quarterback is the last Packers quarterback, and by that yardstick Love re-opened a door that has been shut for four seasons.

## The Rodgers benchmark, and where Love landed

For Love (2024, 2025) and Rodgers (2020, 2021), including regular season and playoffs, on every play credited as a dropback:

| QB         | Season     | Dropbacks | EPA/db | CPOE  | TD | INT | Pass Yds |
| ---------- | ---------- | --------- | ------ | ----- | -- | --- | -------- |
| A. Rodgers | 2020 (MVP) | 634       | +0.308 | +6.78 | 53 | 6   | 4,941    |
| A. Rodgers | 2021 (MVP) | 320\*     | +0.255 | +5.82 | 20 | 1   | 2,446    |
| J. Love    | 2024       | 477       | +0.100 | +0.17 | 25 | 14  | 3,601    |
| J. Love    | 2025       | 508       | +0.253 | +5.28 | 27 | 6   | 3,704    |

\*Rodgers' 2021 dropback total is lower because he missed time and Green Bay's playoff run was one-and-done.

Love's 2025 EPA/dropback of +0.253 slots directly between Rodgers' two MVP years. His +5.28 CPOE — the share of completions he generated above what an average passer would on the same throws — sits inside the same window (Rodgers was +6.78 in 2020 and +5.82 in 2021). The interception collapse is real, too: Love went from 11 picks on 442 regular-season attempts in 2024 to just 6 on 462 attempts in 2025, while his touchdown total climbed from 25 to 27 (regular season plus playoffs).

Across the league in 2025, Love's regular-season EPA/dropback (+0.240) ranked second among qualifying passers (min. 300 dropbacks), behind only Drake Maye (+0.298) and ahead of Matthew Stafford, Jared Goff, and Dak Prescott. That's not the middle of the pack. That's the Rodgers tier.

## The team number, in franchise context

Zoom out from Love to the whole offense and the same thing shows up. Green Bay's team pass EPA/play in 2025 was +0.242\. Here are the Packers' top pass-offense seasons since 1999:

| Season   | Pass EPA/play | QB            |
| -------- | ------------- | ------------- |
| 2011     | +0.356        | Rodgers (MVP) |
| 2020     | +0.302        | Rodgers (MVP) |
| **2025** | **+0.242**    | **Love**      |
| 2014     | +0.238        | Rodgers (MVP) |
| 2004     | +0.209        | Favre         |
| 2016     | +0.189        | Rodgers       |

The 2025 Packers had the third-best team pass EPA/play in a franchise history that includes three Rodgers MVP seasons and Brett Favre's late-career peak. It is comfortably the best mark since 2020, and it edges out Rodgers' 2014 MVP campaign for the pass-game trophy on that list.

None of the intervening years came close. Love's own 2024 offense checked in at +0.117 pass EPA/play; the 2022 offense (Rodgers' final Green Bay season) was negative at -0.025\. This year is a step-change, not a drift upward.

## Where the leap came from: the intermediate game

The most useful question about a year-over-year jump is *where on the field* it happened. For Love, it was almost entirely in the intermediate zone — throws with 10–19 air yards, the layer where quarterbacks separate themselves.

Love's regular-season passing by air-yards bucket:

| Air Yards                | 2024 Att | 2024 EPA/att | 2024 CPOE  | 2025 Att | 2025 EPA/att | 2025 CPOE |
| ------------------------ | -------- | ------------ | ---------- | -------- | ------------ | --------- |
| Behind LOS               | 78       | \-0.199      | \-5.63     | 80       | \-0.062      | \-1.75    |
| 0–9 (short)              | 199      | +0.103       | +3.13      | 191      | +0.249       | +6.79     |
| **10–19 (intermediate)** | **80**   | **+0.431**   | **\-0.62** | **106**  | **+0.605**   | **+7.28** |
| 20+ (deep)               | 68       | +0.454       | +1.58      | 62       | +0.607       | +7.92     |

Two things pop out. First, Love threw more often in the intermediate range in 2025 — 106 attempts vs. 80 — while getting *more* efficient. Second, the CPOE swing on those intermediate throws is enormous: from below average (-0.62) to nearly eight points above expectation (+7.28). His completion rate on 10-to-19-yard throws went from 43-of-80 (54%) in 2024 to 62-of-106 (58%) in 2025 on a heavier volume, and every one of those completions came against a defense's honest expectation of a lower rate.

The deep ball also moved — +0.607 EPA/attempt and +7.92 CPOE on 20+ yard throws is elite work — but it's the intermediate volume-plus-accuracy combination that structurally changes a passing offense. Defenses can eventually take away one layer; taking away all three is another matter.

## What this doesn't say

A few caveats worth stating explicitly.

Rodgers' 2020 was still the higher peak — +0.308 EPA/dropback, 53 touchdowns to 6 interceptions, and +6.78 CPOE across 634 dropbacks is a genuinely rarefied season, and Love's 2025 didn't quite match it on any single dimension. The claim here is that Love's year lives in that neighborhood, not that it surpassed Rodgers' best.

Green Bay also finished the regular season 9-7-1, so the passing-game leap didn't translate into a top seed. And Love's 2021 sample as a starter-in-relief (66 dropbacks, -0.149 EPA/db, -5.52 CPOE) is a reminder of how far he's come, but it's too small to build a trajectory from.

Still, if the question was whether the Packers had a Rodgers-tier passing quarterback again, 2025 was the first season in four years where the answer, statistically, looks like yes. I'd want to see him do it again in 2026 before declaring the transition complete — the intermediate-throw CPOE jump from -0.62 to +7.28 is the kind of thing that can regress — but the shape of the year is unmistakable. Green Bay's best passing offense since Rodgers' 2020 MVP was quarterbacked by a 27-year-old on his second contract, and the numbers underneath it point in the direction the Packers have been hoping they would since the day they drafted him.