Seven weeks of 2026 NFL data separate real signals, like Dallas's defense, from small-sample noise.
Six weeks in, EPA data flatters some teams and flags others—but small samples cut both ways.
Minnesota's defense and Dallas's are real; the 49ers' league-leading offense is schedule-inflated.
Three weeks in, only a few 2026 EPA trends—like Minnesota's defense—look statistically real.
Cincinnati's defense is posting EPA numbers no full Bengals season has matched in 27 years of play-by-play
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