Week 6's EPA per play exposed which final scores told the truth—and which ones badly understated the gap.
Minnesota's 3rd-down defense is historically good this year, and sacks have nothing to do with it.
Jalen Hurts' deep-ball numbers are his best in four years, but his short game has collapsed in 2026.
Through three games, Kansas City's EPA per play looks like the Mahomes of 2018-2022, not 2023-2025.
Arizona's short-pass defense has tripled its EPA allowed, while deep coverage and pass rush look normal.
San Francisco's pass offense is historically hot, but Denver's defense is strong exactly where Purdy throws
Bijan Robinson's 194-yard game and a 40-carry script broke Green Bay's top-ranked run defense in Week 3.
Denver's run defense has allowed +0.243 EPA per rush in 2026 after four years of steady effectiveness.
Tampa Bay's offense is the one number that doesn't match its 2025 baseline — the rest is noise.
Same yardage, same opponent, wildly different efficiency
In his 49ers debut, Mike Evans caught six third-down targets and zero deep shots
Offenses passed on only 33.5% of 3rd-and-short plays in 2025, the lowest rate in 16 years of data.
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