Seven weeks of 2026 NFL data separate real signals, like Dallas's defense, from small-sample noise.
Six weeks in, EPA data flatters some teams and flags others—but small samples cut both ways.
Drake Maye's four-TD breakout was the week's most informative result, not just its biggest blowout.
A deep-route theory about Davante Adams and the Rams, stress-tested against its own shaky assumptions.
Minnesota's defense and Dallas's are real; the 49ers' league-leading offense is schedule-inflated.
Kansas City's under-center rate has doubled in 2026, moving Xavier Worthy's routes toward the line.
Three weeks in, only a few 2026 EPA trends—like Minnesota's defense—look statistically real.
San Francisco ranks top-five on both sides early — several other 2026 trends still need more games to confirm.
Opponent-adjusted EPA suggests Vegas's 7-point Seahawks line overstates Seattle's defensive edge.
Jaxson Dart's Week 2 injury leaves the Giants' 2026 season anywhere between rebuild and playoff push.
The Raiders are 2-0, but it's a revived run defense — not the offense — driving the wins.
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