Arizona's short-pass defense has tripled its EPA allowed, while deep coverage and pass rush look normal.
San Francisco's pass offense is historically hot, but Denver's defense is strong exactly where Purdy throws
Three weeks in, only a few 2026 EPA trends—like Minnesota's defense—look statistically real.
San Francisco ranks top-five on both sides early — several other 2026 trends still need more games to confirm.
Opponent-adjusted EPA suggests Vegas's 7-point Seahawks line overstates Seattle's defensive edge.
Cincinnati's defense is posting EPA numbers no full Bengals season has matched in 27 years of play-by-play
Denver's run defense has allowed +0.243 EPA per rush in 2026 after four years of steady effectiveness.
Detroit's defensive collapse vs Buffalo and the Jets' surge vs Green Bay both reflect schedule, not skill.
Tampa Bay's offense is the one number that doesn't match its 2025 baseline — the rest is noise.
Taylor's two-game rate tops every full season of his career, against two top-12 run defenses. Indy lost both.
Kansas City's early EPA edge over Miami is mostly a byproduct of a soft schedule, not a talent gap.
Jaxson Dart's Week 2 injury leaves the Giants' 2026 season anywhere between rebuild and playoff push.
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