Six weeks in, EPA data flatters some teams and flags others—but small samples cut both ways.
Minnesota's defense and Dallas's are real; the 49ers' league-leading offense is schedule-inflated.
Three weeks in, only a few 2026 EPA trends—like Minnesota's defense—look statistically real.
Tampa Bay's offense is the one number that doesn't match its 2025 baseline — the rest is noise.
Carson Wentz outproduced J.J. McCarthy throwing to the same Vikings receivers in 2025.
Minnesota's pass rush choked off deep shots so well that the few it allowed turned catastrophic.
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